Working papers
Predictable Forecast Errors in Full-Information Rational Expectations Models with Regime Shifts
with Ina Hajdini, February 2026
The China Shock Revisited: Job Reallocation and Industry Switching in U.S. Labor Markets
with Nick Bloom, Kyle Handley and Phil Luck, October 2024, revise and resubmit at Review of Economic Studies
NBER Working Paper | Cato Institute Summary | Media coverage: Economist, WSJ, Bloomberg
Downward Wage Rigidity in the United States: New Evidence from Worker-Firm Linked Data
with Erika McEntarfer, May 2024
Older papers
News Shocks and Inflation: Lessons for New Keynesians
with Chris Otrok, April 2017
New Evidence on the Relationship between News Shocks and the Slope of the Term Structure
with Chris Otrok, June 2016
Appendix
Do Workers Feel Entitled to High Wages? Evidence from a Field Experiment
with Matthieu Chemin, October 2014
Appendix
Asset Value Constraints in Models of Incomplete Factor Taxation
with David Arseneau and Sanjay Chugh, November 2009
Optimal Capital Taxation in an Economy with Capital Allocation Frictions
with David Arseneau and Sanjay Chugh, September 2008
Search Frictions in Physical Capital Markets as a Propagation Mechanism
with Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, April 2007